Danish Intelligence Warns of Rising Russian Hybrid Threats While Calling Direct NATO Invasion 'Highly Unlikely'
The agency said sabotage and destructive cyberattacks could expand as Russia seeks to weaken support for Ukraine.
- On Thursday, the Danish Defence Intelligence Service reported that Russia will intensify hybrid warfare against the West, warning of more frequent sabotage and cyberattacks with "greater consequences for the targeted countries than in the past."
- Russia faces intense pressure from heavy battlefield losses and economic strain in Ukraine, prompting Moscow to shift its hybrid strategy toward actively disrupting Western military aid reaching Kyiv rather than merely creating fear.
- Intelligence service chief Thomas Ahrenkiel warned of a "low but growing risk" of limited military attacks, citing potential tactics including isolated long-range strikes on Ukraine-support infrastructure or false-flag drone operations to test NATO unity.
- Danish officials stressed the security situation is the most serious since the Cold War, while Moscow rejected the assessment, blaming the West for deteriorating security and denying involvement in hybrid attacks or sabotage operations.
- DDIS considers a full-scale invasion "highly unlikely" since it would require several months of visible military preparation, though the agency assesses Putin may view the coming years as a "window of opportunity" before European capabilities strengthen by 2030.
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The Danish Defence Intelligence Service (FE) estimates that Russia will intensify its hybrid war in the coming months with “more frequent attacks” against the West and NATO, “with greater consequences for the affected countries than before.” The Minister of Defence, the Social Democrat Jeppe Bruus, considers that “the situation is serious and we take it seriously.” According to a new FE assessment presented at a press conference in Copenhagen, t…
Danish intelligence agencies are warning that the risk of a limited Russian attack on a NATO country is low but growing. The assessment comes on the day Poland investigates a fire at a station using Starlink systems.
According to Danish services, Russia may be trying to test NATO's Article 5, which stipulates the collective defense of member states.
Denmark's intelligence service is the latest to join the chorus of warnings about a Russian attack on NATO. This time, the information is more detailed – and worrying. DN's defense reporter Bo Torbjörn Ek answers three questions about the new threat assessment.
Russia's hybrid warfare against Western countries is likely to intensify in the coming months, Danish military intelligence warned on Thursday, saying a direct attack on a NATO member was unlikely but not ruled out.
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