Pollster Nate Silver calls Ocasio-Cortez most likely to be 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight, predicted during a 2025 podcast that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee.
- Silver’s forecast was influenced by a Spring 2025 Yale Youth Poll of 4,100 registered voters, nearly half aged 18-29, showing Ocasio-Cortez’s strong favorability among younger demographics.
- Ocasio-Cortez, a New York Representative and self-described socialist, gained prominence after defeating Joseph Crowley in 2018 and has campaigned nationwide with Senator Bernie Sanders on a 'Fighting Oligarchy' tour.
- Galen Druke, Silver’s podcast co-host, stated that Ocasio-Cortez has “broad appeal” within the Democratic Party, with a net favorability around +60, matching Kamala Harris’s ratings in recent averages.
- This prediction reflects growing momentum for Ocasio-Cortez as a frontrunner, but analysts note that formal candidacies for 2028 remain some years away and outcomes are still uncertain.
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