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Stocks Shaken by Geopolitical Fears, Japanese Bonds Bounce After Selloff

Japanese government bond yields surged nearly 19 basis points in two days, raising fears of a leveraged carry trade unwind and prompting shifts in U.S. and European bond markets.

  • The surge in Japan’s borrowing costs on Tuesday sent volatility through global bond markets, with ten-year Japanese government bond yields up almost 19 bps and 30-year yields posting their biggest daily jump since 2003.
  • On Monday, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced a snap election set for February 8 and is campaigning on a proposed two-year food tax pause, stoking fears of bigger deficits and more fiscal spending, analysts warn.
  • Investor flows into and out of U.S. assets intensified, with Danish pension fund AkademikerPension planning to sell $100 million of U.S. Treasuries, said Mantas Vanagas.
  • U.S. long-term yields climbed, with 30-year Treasurys up around 7 bps to 4.91 per cent, while gold surged 2.1 per cent to $4,865 an ounce.
  • The BoJ meeting on Friday could be pivotal as policymakers may flag tightening soon, while concerns about the carry trade and European governments' defence spending threaten more issuance.
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Barchart.com broke the news in on Tuesday, January 20, 2026.
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