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UBS lowers forecast for China 2025 GDP growth to 3.4% on tariff hikes

  • China’s exports increased by 12.4% in March as companies hurried to avoid higher U.S. tariffs, according to customs administration.
  • The trade surplus with the U.S. reached $27.6 billion in March due to a 4.5% rise in exports, according to customs data.
  • Analysts predict that shipments will decline in the coming months due to rising tariffs and economic challenges.
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Trump's 145% tariffs on Chinese products threaten to preclude the country's access to the world's largest economy

·Milan, Italy
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China's exports rose 12.4 percent in March, with companies stepping up shipments to avoid Trump's tariffs, writes CNBC. Meanwhile, a Reuters poll forecast a growth of just 4.4 percent from the same period last year.Imports fell 4.3 percent, with domestic demand remaining weak.” Exports are likely to weaken in the coming months as U.S. tariffs have exploded,” said Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, adding th…

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Nikkei broke the news in Japan on Monday, April 14, 2025.
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