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Sweden's right-wing government lags in poll, but gap narrows
A Demoskop survey of 2,106 voters shows the opposition ahead by 3.7 points, with the Liberals below Sweden’s 4% seat threshold.
A new Demoskop poll shows the centre-left opposition leading the governing right-wing coalition 50.6% to 46.9%, with the gap narrowing significantly since June ahead of the September 13 election.
Conducted between July 29 and August 10, the survey marks the first assessment since government parties announced election pledges at the Almedalen political festival, as the campaign enters its final month.
The Liberal Party polled just 2.4%, falling well below the 4% Riksdag threshold, while the Christian Democrats reached 7.5%, their best result since March 2020 after promising to nearly double child benefits.
Projections place the governing bloc at 163 parliamentary seats against 186 for the opposition, prompting Moderate Party campaign manager Martin Borgs to declare, "Now the match begins." Social Democrats secretary Tobias Baudin expressed confidence in their campaign.
Demoskop head of opinion Johan Martinsson noted the psychological weight of the narrowing gap, stating, "It's a huge difference psychologically, at least for the parties, if there's a difference of around 8 or around 4 percentage points between the blocs.
Sweden's opposition narrows lead over ruling coalition ahead of election Sweden's opposition bloc has 50.6% support to the coalition's 46.9%, a gap narrowed to 3.7 points. The rise in popularity of the Christian Democrats to 7.5% contributed to this.