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‘One in, one out’ migrant deal won’t work, warns French deputy mayor

FRANCE, JUL 9 – French officials say the UK-France 'one in, one out' migrant deal will not reduce Channel crossings, which are expected to reach nearly 40,000 this year, critics warn of ineffective quotas.

  • On 10 July 2025, the leaders of the United Kingdom and France reached an agreement in London on a reciprocal "one in, one out" migration arrangement aimed at limiting small boat crossings of the English Channel.
  • The agreement follows increased illegal crossings, with over 21,000 arrivals this year and stalled cooperation after Brexit in 2020, prompting pressure on France to change its policing laws.
  • The pilot will return up to 50 migrants weekly to France while the UK accepts asylum seekers with family ties, with the trial expected to start soon amid ongoing discussions on operational details.
  • A Conservative Party report estimates that around 3.4% of individuals arriving via small boats could end up in prison, a figure questioned by the Home Office and the Migration Observatory, who argue the underlying data is unreliable and comparisons made are unjustified.
  • If successful, the scheme could scale up significantly, reflecting shared efforts to disrupt people-smuggling gangs and improve bilateral cooperation on illegal migration across the Channel.
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The Telegraph broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Wednesday, July 9, 2025.
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