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Labour to miss 1.5m homes target, housebuilders warn OBR

Housebuilders say higher costs and sluggish demand threaten the UK's 1.5 million new homes goal by 2030, with only 200,000 added last year, says the Home Builders Federation.

  • Ahead of next month's budget, housebuilders told the Office for Budget Responsibility that ministers will not hit the 1.5 million new homes target by the end of the decade, making an OBR forecast upgrade less likely.
  • Developers say sluggish demand and higher regulatory costs from environmental and building-safety rules are to blame, while Neil Jefferson, Home Builders Federation chief executive, warns planned taxes and slow reform, including House of Lords delays, make many sites unviable.
  • A National Housing Federation study found private building must expand faster than recent decades, while Lanpro’s analysis showed current housebuilding and planning starts would leave the government far short.
  • The Office for Budget Responsibility downgrade increased pressure on the budget as analysts' estimates of a 30 billion to 20 billion shortfall heighten fiscal risk, officials say.
  • A government spokesman pledged to accelerate reforms, citing planning reforms and a 39 billion investment in social and affordable housing.
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The Negotiator broke the news in on Friday, October 24, 2025.
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