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Deaths overtake births in France for first time since World War II

France's fertility rate fell to 1.56 children per woman in 2025, with 651,000 deaths surpassing 645,000 births, marking its first negative natural balance since WWII.

  • On Tuesday, INSEE reported deaths outnumbered births in France in 2025 for the first time since World War Two, with 651,000 deaths and 645,000 births last year, eroding its EU demographic advantage.
  • Falling birth rates and ageing mean fertility dropped to 1.56 children per woman last year, its lowest since World War One, while life expectancy hit record highs and aged 65+ rose to 22%.
  • Migration data show France's population grew slightly to 69.1 million last year, driven by a net migration estimate of 176,000 despite births collapsing after the COVID pandemic.
  • The national public audit office warned the demographic shift will push public spending back to pandemic-era highs and erode the tax base, while economist Philippe Crevel said retirement of large 1960s cohorts will raise labour market tensions in the coming years.
  • In the coming years, analysts expect labour market tensions and workforce problems to increase as ageing accelerates, while the national public audit office warned fiscal strains could intensify, affecting pensions and public spending.
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Center

In a report published on Tuesday, 13 January, the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (Insee) points to a historical decline in the number of births compared to deaths.

·France
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Lean Left

2025 is the first year since World War II when more people died in France than were born, ending eighty years of natural increase: like most European countries, France, which has long been an exception in demographic terms, is now experiencing a natural decline. According to demographic data released on Tuesday, the French population still grew by 176,000 people last year, but this is only due to migration. However, natural increase, i.e. the di…

·Hungary
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bienpublic.com broke the news in on Tuesday, January 13, 2026.
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