US EditionCorrecting some of the 2CP swings
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Correcting some of the 2CP swings
Prior to the election, I drew attention to the differences between my calculations and those of the AEC for a number of non-classic seats that gained new areas during the redistribution. Originally I had a list of 14 affected seats, but one of them (Nicholls) has reverted to a classic contest. There’s a variety of reasons why the AEC’s estimated margin in these seats is wrong. Antony explains the reasons here, and I also explained them here. For…
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