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Top The Tally Room News

Hung Parliament Still Likely Outcome of Tasmanian Election, with Liberals Well Ahead of Labor in New Poll

Hung Parliament Still Likely Outcome of Tasmanian Election, with Liberals Well Ahead of Labor in New Poll

75% Left coverage: 4 sources

Polling ahead of the count this Saturday shows the island state will likely go from one hung parliament to another.See the Story

More Free GP Clinics Pledged as Tasmanian Labor Officially Launches Campaign

More Free GP Clinics Pledged as Tasmanian Labor Officially Launches Campaign

100% Left coverage: 3 sources

With less than a week of the Tasmanian election campaign to go, state Labor has announced an expansion of its pledge to operate free GP clinics. But the challenge of staffing them remains.See the Story

How do votes turn into seats in Tasmania?

Hobart, Australia · Hobart

How do votes turn into seats in Tasmania?

100% Left coverage: 1 sources

Electoral systems do not permanently favour one party over another — a change in voting patterns can change who benefits. The post How do votes turn into seats in Tasmania? appeared first on Crikey.See the Story

DemosAU: Liberal 34.0, Labor 26.3, Greens 15.1 in Tasmania - The Poll Bludger

A second poll for the Tasmanian state election is much more encouraging for the Liberals than the first, with both recording strong support for independents.Tasmania · Tasmania See the Story

How have countbacks performed in NSW?

I wrote a blog post last weekend about how the NSW government has been sneaking in a change to how council vacancies are filled into a bill that is billed as primarily ending the privatisation of council election administration. Since then I’ve had the chance to do a bit more analysis on the topic and I wanted to provide more data to inform the debate. This was too late to be included in my inquiry submission so hopefully it can be found useful …New South Wales · New South Wales Read Article

NSW government bill would end council countbacks

There is a bill currently before the NSW Legislative Council which makes a number of changes to how local government elections work in New South Wales. The bill has been referred to an inquiry that is currently open for submissions. The bill’s focus has been on a change to end the option for local councils to use a private election provider to run their elections. This is long overdue and I have already made a submission in support of this claus…New South Wales · New South Wales Read Article

Early voting in the Tasmanian state election explained

100% Left coverage: 1 sources

Can I vote online? What electorate do I live in? What is Hare-Clark? All your questions about voting early in the Tasmanian state election answered.Hobart, Australia · Hobart See the Story

Who makes the 3CP, where?

The three-candidate-preferred (3CP) count has become a topic of more interest in recent elections because of close races where the dynamic of who makes it into the top two can decide who wins. But it’s also an interesting statistic which can tell us more then is revealed by the two-party-preferred vote, while being a bit simpler than primary vote statistics. So for this post, likely my final post analysing the 2025 federal election, I look at wh…Australia · Australia Read Article

Who else do independent voters vote for?

There were 21 seats in 2025 where an independent candidate made the two-candidate-preferred count. For today’s post, I want to explore what we can tell about those voters from their other voting patterns. For voters who ended up with the independent in the two-candidate-preferred count: how did they cast their primary vote, and where did they rank Labor or Coalition? For some of this analysis, it is important to analyse seats where the independe…Australia · Australia Read Article

3CP data sheds light on the close races

Late on Monday, the AEC transitioned the election results website to its final archive form. You can now find the results at results.aec.gov.au, and the previous link no longer works. There is probably enough fresh data to fuel a whole week of blog posts. I am planning to return to the question of the national 2PP and 2PP preference flows by party, as well as some deeper analysis of the 3CP trends across the country. For this post, I am going to…New South Wales · New South Wales Read Article

The make-up of the marginal seat list

Earlier this month I published a blog post which discovered that the average 2CP margin of victory has not actually been getting smaller at recent federal elections. I didn’t end up including the chart in the post, but I also identified that the numbers of marginal seats hasn’t been going up over time, despite a number of formerly-safe seats now becoming marginal non-classic seats. But I wanted to explore the make-up of those marginal seats over…Australia · Australia Read Article

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