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YouGov to Publish UK Polling Data After Reform Row

YouGov will now publish both standard and constituency-weighted voting intention figures after Farage claimed the firm underreported Reform UK's support by about 4 points.

  • Last Wednesday, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage accused polling firm YouGov of underplaying his party's support, claiming the firm's methodology consistently produces lower figures than competitors.
  • YouGov defended its methodology, stating headline figures are adjusted for constituency-level tactical voting to increase accuracy in predicting actual election outcomes, though this approach results in lower Reform support estimates.
  • Following the dispute, YouGov agreed to publish both general and constituency-based voting intention figures, with the firm stating this would show stage 1 polling often places Reform higher than its headline numbers.
  • Data from BMG Research and Survation shows Reform's support has declined across the industry since January, indicating the downward trend occurs regardless of which polling firm's methodology is used.
  • Pollster Mark Diffley suggests Reform's decline stems from increased scrutiny as Farage faces challenges defending policy decisions, with analysts noting the party may have hit a support ceiling after transitioning from outsider to junior governing party.
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spectator.com broke the news in on Wednesday, March 11, 2026.
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