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UK to have highest inflation in G7, IMF says

The IMF revised UK inflation upward to 3.4% in 2025 and 2.5% in 2026, driven by rising wages, poor harvests, and higher taxes impacting food and services prices.

  • The IMF predicts the United Kingdom will face the highest inflation among G7 economies in 2025 and 2026, placing Britain atop the inflation league table in its World Economic Outlook.
  • Rising costs such as wage bills and poor harvests have driven food and services inflation higher in recent months, while retailers say employer taxes and regulatory costs add to price pressure.
  • The IMF now forecasts UK inflation to average 3.4% in 2025, up from its July forecast of 3.2%, and to ease only to 2.5 in 2026, above earlier estimates.
  • The Bank of England faces a tougher task bringing inflation back to its two per cent target, and analysts warn sustained inflation could constrain rate cuts, weighing on consumers and businesses.
  • The IMF upgraded UK growth forecast to 1.3% this year due to strong first-half 2025 activity, but trimmed next-year growth amid global trade pressures and flagged inflation momentum in the UK and United States.
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City AM broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Monday, October 13, 2025.
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