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Cornyn, Paxton Locked in Dead Heat in Texas Primary: Poll

An Emerson College poll shows Cornyn and Paxton tied at 30% and 29%, with 37% of Texas Republican primary voters undecided, highlighting a highly competitive race.

  • Emerson College Polling discovered Cornyn at 45% and Paxton at 46% in the GOP primary, with no date references in the source.
  • Campaign clashes have intensified as Senator John Cornyn emphasized his voting record in favor of Trump's agenda, while Ken Paxton regularly denounces Cornyn as a `RINO` and attacks his votes on Ukraine aid and gun control.
  • The survey employed MMS-to-web text, email and online panels, and responses were matched to voter files and weighted by demographics, with a credibility interval of ±3 points and ±4.4 points for the Republican sample.
  • With no clear frontrunner, 37% of GOP primary voters remain undecided, and primary rules require 50% plus one vote to avoid a May runoff.
  • Among undecided voters, the Emerson poll suggests that President Donald Trump's endorsement could be decisive in the 2026 Republican Senate primary race in Texas.
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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, August 15, 2025.
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