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Reform would win most seats in general election, in-depth poll suggests

  • YouGov released polling data indicating that Nigel Farage's Reform UK would become the largest party with 271 seats if a general election occurred today in Great Britain.
  • This prospect arises from volatile voter fragmentation and collapsing combined support for Labour and the Conservatives, with average 2024 winning shares near 40% and tight electoral margins.
  • The poll expects Labour to drop from 411 seats last year to around 178 seats while Liberal Democrats rise to 81 seats and Conservatives fall to 46 seats, with Reform projected to win many new seats across regions including London and the North East.
  • YouGov said Reform led 99% of simulations but no single party would reach the 326-seat House of Commons majority, so a coalition government appears likely as 'rainbow style coalition possibilities do appear.'
  • These findings suggest a hung parliament is most probable with higher political division and no clear two-party dominance expected in the near future UK electoral landscape.
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A new poll published this Thursday in the UK revealed a significant drop in support for the Labour Party, which took over a year ago, and a sharp increase in support for Nigel Farage's right-wing Reform UK faction.]]>

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Bias Distribution

  • 38% of the sources lean Left, 38% of the sources are Center
38% Center
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Daily Express broke the news in United Kingdom on Thursday, June 26, 2025.
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