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Polymarket prediction platform possibly manipulated to favor Trump: Report

  • Non-Americans own four accounts on Polymarket that bet on Donald Trump winning the 2024 election, according to a Friday report from a source familiar with the matter.
  • Trump has a 60% chance of winning compared to Harris at 40%, while Polymarket's users are confirmed as international.
  • Kalshi stated that Trump's rise in odds reflects normal market activity as prediction markets aggregate information more quickly than polls.
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  • 52% of the sources lean Left
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