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Saudi $5 Billion Loan to Nigeria Hangs in the Balance After Crude Prices Plunge

  • Nigeria and Saudi Arabia’s Aramco are struggling to finalize a $5 billion oil-backed loan proposed during President Bola Tinubu's November meeting in Riyadh.
  • The challenge stems from Brent crude prices dropping nearly 20% since the start of the year, falling from more than $82 per barrel to approximately $65, which has made securing favorable loan terms and maintaining lender confidence more difficult.
  • Nigeria’s 2024 budget assumes oil prices at $75 per barrel and production of 2 million barrels per day, yet April output was under 1.5 million bpd with 300,000 bpd allocated for debt repayment.
  • Banks backing the proposed facility worry about crude delivery reliability and call for either more oil production or renegotiation, as the loan would be Nigeria’s largest oil-backed facility.
  • The stalled $5 billion loan adds pressure on Nigeria’s budget and suggests possible downsizing of the deal amid ongoing efforts to boost oil output and foreign borrowing totaling $21.5 billion.
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BizToc broke the news in on Tuesday, June 10, 2025.
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