Major Brokerages Scale Back Recession Odds After U.S.-China Trade Truce

Goldman Sachs, UBS raise China GDP growth forecasts after US trade truce

Goldman Sachs also lifts US growth forecast by half a percentage point and predicts strengthening of yuan against US dollar.

Trump China Tariffs Recession Fears Just Got Crushed - American Faith

JPMorgan is dialing back its recession forecast following President Donald Trump’s temporary tariff rollback on Chinese imports. The bank now estimates the chance of a U.S. recession in 2025 has dropped below 50%, down from a 60% likelihood previously projected. The shift came in a Tuesday note from JPMorgan Chief U.S. Economist Michael Feroli, who credited Trump’s 90-day pause on aggressive China tariffs as a stabilizing move. The agreement red…

JP Morgan drops US recession risk below 50% as Trump strikes China trade deal

"The administration’s recent dialing down of some of the more draconian tariffs placed on China should reduce the risk that the U.S. economy slips into recession."

Trade Truce Set To Ignite "Red Hot" Front-Running Of Chinese Exports To US; Goldman

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

Christmas orders back on track after tariff truce

Businesses are moving ahead with shipments, as the deal to reduce tariffs raises hopes over the economic outlook.

JPMorgan lowers its recession odds as Trump strikes a temporary deal to drop tariffs on China

The investment bank had previously predicted a 60% chance of a recession in 2025.