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Japan Election Could Further Hamper BOJ's Drive to Raise Rates

JAPAN, JUL 13 – Opposition parties favor tax cuts and loose monetary policy amid concerns over Japan’s $7.9 trillion debt, risking extended low interest rates despite Bank of Japan’s planned hikes.

  • Ahead of July’s vote, Japan’s opposition parties favour tax cuts and loose monetary policy, increasing pressure on the Bank of Japan to keep interest rates low longer than it wants.
  • In a recent Asahi newspaper poll, 68% of voters favored a sales tax cut, while Japan’s public debt equals 250% of GDP, far above Greece at 165%.
  • According to UBS SuMi Trust economist Daiju Aoki, `there’s a 50% chance the ruling coalition could lose its majority in the upper house,` which could delay BOJ rate hikes amid U.S. tariff uncertainty.
  • Naomi Muguruma, chief bond strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, said, ‘There’s a good chance the government will compile an extra budget to fund another spending package,’ reflecting market caution amid political uncertainty.
  • Amid rising debt servicing costs, Shigeru Ishiba may soften his hawkish fiscal stance to boost spending, while Japan’s government spends nearly a quarter of its budget on debt, suggesting fiscal strain.
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Lean Right

Japan's currency has lost a lot, especially to the euro, and the following aspects could now bring about a turnaround for it.

·Vienna, Austria
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U.S. News broke the news in New York, United States on Sunday, July 13, 2025.
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