US EditionIndia sees 6.8%-7.2% growth next year, flags risks from geopolitics, weak exports
The Economic Survey raises medium-term growth potential to 7.0% and warns of risks from US tariffs and global trade uncertainties affecting exports and the rupee.
- On January 29, 2026 the Economic Survey tabled in Parliament projects FY27 growth of 6.8%–7.2% and upgrades potential to 7%.
- The Survey credited GST rationalisation, faster deregulation and public investment for lifting the outlook, highlighting mission-mode platforms and procurement reforms as steps toward an entrepreneurial state.
- The Survey recorded net Foreign Portfolio Investor selling from April–December 2025 while Domestic Institutional Investors supported markets, and Exporters said fresh US orders stopped amid steep 50% US tariffs.
- The Survey's findings are set to inform the Budget on February 1, and MoSPI will release revised GDP data on February 27, which may prompt forecast revisions.
- The Survey contrasts its forecast with IMF and World Bank estimates, warning India remains a victim of geopolitics despite a significantly higher growth forecast than global agencies.
61 Articles
61 Articles
India sees 6.8%-7.2% growth next year, flags risks from geopolitics, weak exports
India's economy is forecast to grow between 6.8% and 7.2% in the fiscal year starting in April on the back of strong domestic demand, the government said on Thursday, even as global volatility weighs on the outlook.
Economic Survey 2025-26 Highlights: Fiscal Discipline & AI's Role in Job Market
The Economic Survey 2025-26, tabled in Parliament, projects India's GDP growth between 6.8% and 7.2% for the fiscal year 2026-27. The survey highlights India's fiscal discipline, with a fiscal deficit target of 4.4% for FY26. It emphasizes the importance of public investment and consolidation in achieving this target. The survey also notes the significant increase in capital spending, which rose from 12.5% to 22.6% of total central government ex…
India’s real GDP to grow between 6.8% and 7.2% in 2026-’27, says Economic Survey
India’s real gross domestic product is expected to grow between 6.8% and 7.2% in the financial year 2026-’27, the government’s annual Economic Survey projected on Thursday.The document said that the cumulative impact of policy reforms in recent years appeared to have lifted the economy’s medium-term growth potential closer to 7%.“With domestic drivers playing a dominant role and macroeconomic stability well anchored, the balance of risks around …
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