Fitch Affirms India’s ‘BBB-’ Rating with Stable Outlook, Flags Fiscal Risks Despite Resilient Growth
Fitch projects India's robust 6.5% growth in fiscal year 2026 supported by GST reforms despite tariff challenges and fiscal weaknesses, with risks from US tariffs expected to ease.
- On August 25, 2025, India moved to consider tax cuts and GST tweaks as US President Donald Trump threatened 50% tariffs starting August 27; the Centre proposed a 2-tier GST structure.
- Fitch Ratings warned that US tariffs pose a moderate downside risk and add uncertainty despite exports to the US accounting for just 2% of GDP.
- Growth and fiscal data indicate Fitch Ratings forecasts GDP growth of 6.5 for FY26 with a deficit of 4.4% of GDP, noting proposed GST reforms "would support consumption, offsetting some of these growth risks".
- Despite tariff risks, domestic demand is expected to remain solid, supported by public capex and private consumption, though Fitch said tariffs would reduce India's China+1 shift benefits.
- Fitch's August 25, 2025, statement noted India's stable 'BBB-' rating with high capex and Pay Commission salary hikes amid limited subsidy cuts and revenue-negative GST reforms.
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Growth robust, external finances solid: Fitch says India outlook stable, affirms sovereign ratings at BBB
Fitch Ratings on Monday affirmed India's sovereign rating as 'BBB-' with a 'stable' outlook. It said that the rating and the outlook were a result of 'robust growth and solid external finances'.
·Mumbai, India
Read Full ArticleFitch affirms India’s ‘BBB-’ rating with stable outlook, flags fiscal risks despite resilient growth
Fitch Ratings has retained India’s long-term foreign currency issuer default rating with a stable outlook, citing strong growth prospects. However, high debt levels remain a concern, with government debt projected to reach 56.1% of GDP by FY26, despite fiscal consolidation efforts.
·New Delhi, India
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Total News Sources18
Leaning Left2Leaning Right7Center1Last UpdatedBias Distribution70% Right
Bias Distribution
- 70% of the sources lean Right
70% Right
L 20%
R 70%
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