US EditionIn the Absence of El Niño, What Other Oscillations Are Modulating Precipitation in Chile?
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In the absence of El Niño and La Niña in 2025, large-scale rainfall forcing is primarily driven by intraseasonal variability. The Antarctic Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation could explain the rainy episodes. Rainfall events in south-central Chile are not always linked to large-scale forcing. The year 2025 is expected to be neutral in the central equatorial Pacific. This means the absence of El Niño or La Niña, and this is forecast to…
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