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Oxford Expert Says 'No Evidence' More Migrants Cross Channel in Better Weather

By early May 2025, 14,812 migrants crossed the English Channel in small boats, the highest total since 2018.
The government attributes part of this rise to favorable weather, noting that 'red days' for crossings doubled from 27 in 2024 to 60 in early 2025.
However, Home Office data also shows more crossings on poor-weather days with boats increasingly overcrowded as smugglers adapt their tactics.
Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp criticized blaming weather, stating smuggling gangs and high demand, not weather, drive the record crossings this year.
Officials remain pessimistic about reducing crossings in 2025, focusing on disrupting smuggling networks and urging France for stronger enforcement and operational changes.

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Oxford Mail

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thisisoxfordshire.co.uk

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Oxford expert says 'no evidence' more migrants cross Channel in better weather

A senior researcher at the University of Oxford has said there is “no evidence” to suggest weather is the main reason for more migrants crossing…

16 hours ago·Oxford, United Kingdom

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The Sun

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Govt is miles away from stopping crossings other than praying for bad weather

Seeing red HOW many Home Office geniuses does it take to work out that when the weather is good and the sea is calm more illegal migrants will try to cross the Channel? And how many French intelligence officers are needed to think that when le soleil is shining it might be a good idea to send a few extra cops down to the beach to stop them? PAMinisters are still miles away from a viable solution[/caption] That the Home Secretary thinks this new …

1 day ago·United Kingdom

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