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N.Y. Gov. Poll: Stefanik, Hochul Locked in Tight Race

A J.L. Partners poll shows Stefanik leads GOP primary with 74% support and ties Hochul at 46%–43% in the 2026 New York governor general election.

  • J.L. Partners' poll shows a tight general-election matchup between Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., and Gov. Kathy Hochul, D-N.Y., with Hochul leading 46% to 43%, within the 4.4% margin of error.
  • Republican name recognition explains part of Stefanik's lead, with more than three-quarters of Republican voters viewing her favorably while Bruce Blakeman remains little known.
  • The polling includes a 4.9% margin of error for the GOP sample and a separate 500-voter general survey found only 37% support for Hochul’s reelection, with 55% wanting change.
  • Endorsements from 12 GOP state senators and nine county executives have bolstered Stefanik, while J.L. Partners calls the contest essentially a coin flip.
  • Hochul is actively scouting running mates including Brian Cunningham, Eric Gonzalez, Robert Rodriguez and Walter Mosley ahead of a state Democratic Party convention deadline, while Antonio Delgado challenges her in the primary.
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Bias Distribution

  • 72% of the sources lean Right
72% Right

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Just the News broke the news in Washington, United States on Tuesday, November 11, 2025.
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