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Danish Intelligence Warns of Rising Russian Hybrid Threats While Calling Direct NATO Invasion 'Highly Unlikely'
The agency said more frequent sabotage and destructive cyberattacks could cause greater damage and casualties as Russia seeks to weaken support for Ukraine.
On Thursday, Secretary-General Mark Rutte stated NATO is capable of handling rising sabotage and drone incidents in Europe, confirming the alliance has action plans in place to address them.
In a risk assessment released Thursday, the Danish Defense Intelligence Service warned Russia is likely to escalate its hybrid campaign—including cyberattacks and sabotage—to pressure the West and NATO.
An Associated Press interactive map shows hybrid incidents surged from 59 in March 2025 to more than 200. Rutte believes this escalation demonstrates Russian President Vladimir Putin is losing the war in Ukraine.
NATO Matthew Whitaker warned Tuesday against overreacting, stating current incident volumes do not indicate imminent conflict. Separately, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned Russia plans hybrid strikes on European countries.
Russia may aim to 'paralyze or at least weaken the motivation of NATO countries' to support Ukraine, though officials note there are 'no indications that Russia will launch an outright invasion of one or several NATO countries.
Danish military intelligence has issued a new report warning that Russia could launch a limited attack on an eastern NATO member state within a few months, Sky News reported.
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Ukraine: The Latest discuss Denmark’s intelligence warning of escalating Russian hybrid attacks and a growing risk of limited strikes on NATO countries