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Will Trump’s retreat spur a grand bargain with China?

  • On March 26, 2025, President Trump suggested he might reduce tariffs on China if Beijing approves an American takeover of TikTok's US unit, currently facing a potential ban on April 5 if ByteDance doesn't sell it.
  • Trump's transactional and erratic approach, coupled with his aversion to foreign entanglements, creates short-term openings for Beijing, potentially leading to a 'grand bargain'.
  • China has consistently supported Russia's war effort, exerting aggressive political pressure on European states, conducting joint military exercises, and holding defense consultations.
  • During a panel discussion at the Boao Forum for Asia on Thursday, former US Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez assessed that the Trump administration desires to move closer to China and saw the administration as very transactional.
  • Despite potential opportunities for reconciliation with Europe, including participation in Ukrainian reconstruction, China's relations may deteriorate if lasting peace proves elusive, especially given China's alignment with Russia.
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Foreign Affairs broke the news in on Thursday, March 27, 2025.
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