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Most of today’s children could endure historic heatwaves as planet warms

  • A study published in Nature on May 7, 2025, revealed that slightly more than 50% of children born in 2020 are expected to encounter lifetime exposure to heatwaves at levels never seen before.
  • Researchers combined demographic, life expectancy, and climate modelling data to assess exposure under multiple warming scenarios from 1960 to 2020 cohorts.
  • The study highlights that 92% of children born in 2020 would face such exposure if global warming rises to 3.5°C, far exceeding past generations’ risks.
  • Lead author Dr. Luke Grant described the threshold as stringent and noted that without climate change, experiencing so many extremes would be a 1-in-10,000 chance.
  • The results underscore urgent, deep emission cuts to protect current youth, especially socioeconomically vulnerable groups, who face the highest unprecedented exposure risks.
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Nature broke the news in United Kingdom on Wednesday, May 7, 2025.
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