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Brazil’s Lula Holds Narrow Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro in Datafolha Runoff Poll

Lula leads 39% to 33% in the first round, while a runoff poll shows him ahead 47% to 43% as the gap stays within the margin of error.

  • Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 47% to 43% in a simulated runoff, according to a Datafolha poll released on Friday.
  • In the first round, Lula holds 39% of the vote against Bolsonaro's 33%, with other candidates trailing; a runoff is required if no candidate secures more than 50% of valid votes.
  • Datafolha surveyed 2,058 people starting August 18, marking the first poll released since the official campaign began when candidates are legally allowed to actively seek votes.
  • The Supreme Court authorized the Federal Police to investigate Lula's eldest son regarding alleged illicit business dealings, while Lula's approval rating fell to 47% and disapproval rose to 50%.
  • Senator Bolsonaro narrowed the gap by one percentage point despite numbers previously falling in May following film financing allegations involving his father, President Jair Bolsonaro.
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23 Articles

Center

RIO DE JANEIRO — President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flávio Bolsonaro by six percentage points in voting intentions for the first round of Brazil's presidential elections, according to a new poll by…

Far Left

Lula aspires to re-election and his fourth non-consecutive term. In a possible second round, according to Datafolha, he would surpass the ultra-rightist Flávio Bolsonaro with 47% of the votes.

·Caracas, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
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UOLUOL
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Folha de S.PauloFolha de S.Paulo
Lean Left

Datasheet: Lula leads between women and the poorest, and Flávio, between evangelicals

·São Paulo, Brazil
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  • 42% of the sources are Center
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CNN Brasil broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Friday, August 21, 2026.
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