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Tariffs · United StatesThe Nasdaq has recovered all its post-Liberation day losses, and then some. The stock market is unfazed by new tariffs or the threat of additional tariffs, such as a “100% tariff on imported chips” (the stock market actually gained on this news): Does this sound familiar? Like the hockey-stick graph of Covid cases shared in early 2020, there were similar scary-looking hockey-stick-shaped charts of the size of the tariffs. I remember this chart b…Read Article
Why the Trump tariffs were a nothing-burger – Grey Enlightenment

Environment · United StatesA major part of IQ is the ability to anticipate or adapt to a changing environment. I am able to take advantage of the tendency of BTC to fall randomly or along with the stock market, but not participate on the upside. This makes shorting perfect for hedging in the event of bad news, like tariffs or Middle East conflict, so I am always covered. I don’t have to worry about being caught off-guard. I cannot lose unless BTC goes up a lot relative to…Read Article
More correct predictions , and the role of IQ and forecasting – Grey Enlightenment

Tariffs · GazaThe ‘doom loop’ is composed of Epstein, Iran-Israel (and maybe Gaza) and tariffs, that alternate in the news cycle, typically one or two at a time as if in a loop. In July, Trump declared airstrikes on Iran, and Epstein was also in the news after Elon tweeted about it. Now the Iran conflict is on the backburner, replaced with Epstein and tariffs. After Trump kicks the can for another 90-day extension on the tariffs, Iran or Epstein will take cen…Read Article