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Prediction Markets: Government Shutdown Will End Soon
The 40-day shutdown is the longest in U.S. history, driven by a deadlock over health care tax credits with no agreement reached despite Senate negotiations.
- A rare Sunday session on Capitol Hill failed to break the deadlock as the U.S. Senate reached Day 40 of the longest government shutdown, disrupting flights and federal food aid.
- At the heart of the impasse is extending health care tax credits, which Democrats say must be included to reopen the government, while Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Republicans demand funding first.
- Market traders reacted as senators voted to advance a reopening bill, with Kalshi odds rising to 92% and PolyMarket to 87% that the shutdown will end this week.
- The path to reopening hinges on both chambers and a presidential signature, with the House of Representatives kept shuttered by Speaker Mike Johnson while a GOP minibus funding plan remains a short-term option.
- Political dynamics are shaped by the president's refusal to meet and President Donald Trump pushes the 'nuclear option' while Democrats cite election momentum and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries predicts retaking the House in 2026.
Insights by Ground AI
11 Articles
11 Articles
The U.S. Senate is now again discussing a way out of the longest budget freeze in the history of the United States.
·Germany
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Deal reached in US Senate to end longest-ever Gov't shutdown
A bipartisan agreement was struck in the Senate on Sunday to end the longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history, a 40-day impasse that has crippled federal agencies and left hundreds of thousands of civil servants without pay.
·Caracas, Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic of
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Much of the US government has been shut down for a record-breaking time, but the political deadlock may be about to be resolved – at least temporarily. One of the many consequences of the shutdown is that a large portion of the population will be without their food aid.
·Stockholm, Sweden
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Coverage Details
Total News Sources11
Leaning Left4Leaning Right1Center3Last UpdatedBias Distribution50% Left
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources lean Left
50% Left
L 50%
C 38%
12%
Factuality
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