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High Turnout in Vital Caerphilly Welsh Parliament by-Election as Votes Counted
Rising support for Reform UK and Plaid Cymru threatens Labour’s century-long control in Caerphilly, with polls showing Reform leading at 30%, Labour second at 23%.
- The by-election this week in Caerphilly, Wales is a dry run for the May 2026 Senedd election and could signal an insurgent siege ending Labour Party's century-long hold.
- Local grievances over library closures, 20mph limits, and poor NHS and school outcomes have fuelled voter anger, while earlier this year the Welsh Labour government campaigned to block Reform UK’s advance.
- Recent polls show Reform leading—a Beaufort poll gives Reform a seven-point lead, and Survation places Reform on 42, with Nigel Farage campaigning locally, and observers noting a strong ground game.
- Labour risks finishing a distant third and may only retain influence as a junior partner to Plaid Cymru in a coalition formed to keep out Reform, shaking Welsh Labour leadership and Sir Keir Starmer.
- South Wales' deep Labour roots have endured past upheavals but recent shifts echo broader realignments that once reshaped the Red Wall amid fraying community ties and digital atomisation.
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21 Articles
21 Articles
Nigel Farage’s biggest electoral fear REVEALED as Reform’s path to power narrows
As votes piled up in the once-safe Labour seat of Caerphilly, it was clear the contest was a two-horse race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK.Lindsay Whittle and Llyr Powell were the beneficiaries of, as Eluned Morgan admits, “difficult headwinds nationally”.Welsh Labour will no doubt look to point the blame at Sir Keir Starmer. From the winter fuel fiasco to small boat crisis, the Prime Minister has seen his support fragment to the left and rig…
·London, United Kingdom
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Caerphilly by-election: Just like that! In Tommy Cooper's birthplace, Farage nowhere to be seen as Reform loses
The joke among Plaid supporters at the count was that long before the declaration Mr Farage was halfway down the M4 on his way back to London, Jon Craig writes.
·United Kingdom
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The Echo UK+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
High turnout in vital Caerphilly Welsh Parliament by-election as votes counted
Plaid Cymru and Reform UK hoping to do well in Labour stronghold.
·Basildon, United Kingdom
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Coverage Details
Total News Sources21
Leaning Left5Leaning Right3Center10Last UpdatedBias Distribution55% Center
Bias Distribution
- 55% of the sources are Center
55% Center
L 28%
C 55%
R 17%
Factuality
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