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The U.S. will 'absolutely' have a recession in 2025 if high tariffs stay, Apollo's Slok says

Summary by CNBC
The economist expects the odds of an economic downturn are 90% and says GDP will fall 4 percentage points if current tariffs remain in effect.

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Monterrey, Mexico.- The International Finance Institute (IFI) revised its growth estimate for the U.S. economy and now anticipates a slight recession in the third and fourth quarters of this year, considering the greater uncertainty about Trump’s trade policies, inflation and growth. In an analysis, the IIF indicated that it now assumes that real GDP will contract at an annualized rate of 0.8 and 0.3 percent in the third and fourth quarters of 2…

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Business Insider broke the news in United States on Monday, April 21, 2025.
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