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Senedd election 'could be seismic for Welsh politics', expert says

  • The Welsh Labour Party, led by Eluned Morgan, is projected to gain only 19 seats in the upcoming elections, marking their worst performance of the devolution era.
  • Plaid Cymru is forecasted to become the largest party in Wales with 35 seats, while Reform UK follows with 30 seats.
  • Eluned Morgan described the poll results as a 'serious wake up call' for her party and indicated the need for Labour to address key issues affecting voters.
  • Labour's vote share could drop to 18%, lagging behind Plaid at 30% and Reform UK at 25%, leading to concerns of party fragmentation.
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  • 50% of the sources lean Left
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Wales Online broke the news in Wales, United Kingdom on Tuesday, May 6, 2025.
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