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Tropical Storm Melissa Expected to Strengthen Into Category 3 Hurricane South of Jamaica, NHC Says

Melissa could rapidly intensify to Category 5 with up to 30 inches of rain predicted in some areas, while its exact impact on Florida remains uncertain, forecasters say.

  • On Oct. 23, Tropical Storm Melissa is expected to become a hurricane, bringing heavy rain and flooding to Hispaniola and Jamaica through the weekend.
  • Observed conditions—50 mph winds and 1000 mb pressure—set the stage for rapid strengthening, with Melissa expected to reach hurricane threshold of 74 mph by late Friday.
  • Models show wide disagreement and a cone that can miss the center up to 33%, with Melissa about 301 miles south-southwest of Port-au-Prince moving slowly at 3 mph and tropical-storm-force winds extending 115 miles.
  • Authorities have issued watches covering Haiti and Jamaica and urged close monitoring as a Hurricane Watch is in effect for southwestern Haiti to Port-au-Prince and a Tropical Storm Watch for Jamaica.
  • AccuWeather warns longer westward tracks increase U.S. impact probability, though westerly winds driven by the jet stream should keep Melissa from Texas and Gulf panhandles next week.
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Sun-Sentinel broke the news in Deerfield Beach, United States on Tuesday, October 21, 2025.
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