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U.S. annual consumer prices increase less than expected in November

The November U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year-over-year, below forecasts, with data gaps from a 43-day government shutdown complicating inflation trend analysis.

  • The Labor Department reported the Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year over year in November in a Dec. 18, 2025 release delayed from Dec. 10.
  • The 43-day government shutdown canceled the October CPI release by preventing data collection, delaying the November report.
  • Core inflation readings showed Core CPI rose 2.6% year over year in November while shelter increased 3% and prices rose 0.2% in the Sep–Nov period.
  • The cooler CPI reading boosted bets that the Federal Reserve's easing cycle can stay on track into 2026, and investors pushed Treasury yields lower, with the 2-year and 10-year yields moving down.
  • With missing data and tariffs in play, import taxes have added roughly 0.7 percentage points to inflation, complicating the Federal Reserve's January 2026 meeting as unemployment rose to 4.6%.
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Barron's broke the news in New York, United States on Wednesday, December 17, 2025.
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