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Colorado State University Issues Lower 2025 Hurricane Season Forecast

UNITED STATES, JUL 9 – Tropical Storm Risk reduced its 2025 US hurricane landfall forecast to 2 due to increased Caribbean wind shear, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy index now projected at 126.

  • Colorado State University has revised its July 2025 hurricane season outlook, now anticipating a total of 16 named storms and eight hurricanes through November 30.
  • This update lowers previous counts due to sustained high wind shear in the Caribbean and cooler Atlantic water temperatures than last year.
  • So far, three named storms—Andrea, Barry, and Chantal—have formed, with Barry making landfall as a tropical depression on Mexico's Gulf Coast in late June.
  • The forecast includes a 48% chance of a hurricane striking the U.S. coast, while ENSO-neutral conditions persist and warmer waters still favor storm intensification, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach.
  • CSU emphasizes thorough preparedness for all coastal residents, noting that one hurricane landfall defines an active season despite the modestly reduced storm projections.
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Artemis.bm - The Catastrophe Bond, Insurance Linked Securities & Investment, Reinsurance Capital, Al broke the news in on Tuesday, July 8, 2025.
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