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Trump’s policies cloud Maine’s economic outlook

  • On Monday, the state's Consensus Economic Forecasting Commission met to discuss Maine's economic outlook amidst uncertainty surrounding President Trump's policies.
  • The meeting and concerns stem from President Trump's implementation of tariffs on goods from countries like China, Mexico, and Canada over the last two months, alongside potential federal spending cuts and a feud with Maine's governor.
  • During the nearly three-hour meeting, the commission downgraded its forecast for personal income growth and increased projections for inflation, with members like Chuck Lawton questioning the impact on Maine's relationship with Canada and the potential defunding of infrastructure projects like rebuilding seawalls in York.
  • Economists warn that Trump's tariffs could lead to increased prices and significant economic effects, despite Trump stating he 'couldn't care less if automakers raise their prices due to new tariffs' and believing tariffs will encourage domestic manufacturing.
  • The potential fallout includes a period of increasing unemployment and below-potential economic growth, with economists warning of a 25% chance of recession, as the commission prepares to finalize its forecast for the Legislature’s budget-writing committee on Friday.
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WTVC broke the news in on Monday, March 31, 2025.
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