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Tropics Watch: New tropical disturbance may develop near Florida. Here’s what to know

The disturbance near Florida has a 10% chance of development and is expected to bring 2-6 inches of rain, increasing flood and rip current risks over the weekend.

  • The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical waves, including one near the Bahamas and southern Florida that may form offshore by Saturday.
  • With tropical moisture and a stalled cold front, forecasters say showers, gusty winds and flooding threats will increase along Florida's east coast through the weekend.
  • The NHC rates short-term formation odds at 10% while rainfall guidance predicts 3 to 5 inches along the east coast of Florida and 2 to 3 inches near Disney World through Monday.
  • Beaches and events face hazards as officials warn `high rip-current risk` and surf up to 7-9 feet off Palm Beach County through Saturday, with disruptions possible at Disney World on Sunday.
  • The NHC says the wave has about a 20% chance of developing over the next seven days and is expected to reach the Gulf of Mexico by Sunday, with hurricane season running through Nov. 30.
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WKMG broke the news in Orlando, United States on Thursday, October 2, 2025.
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