US EditionThe New START Treaty Is Ending. What Does that Mean for Nuclear Risk?
The treaty capped deployed warheads at 1,550 per side and included extensive verification measures, but political tensions and halted inspections ended cooperation.
- Come Thursday, barring a last-minute change, the New START Treaty between the United States and Russia will expire, removing the last bilateral arms-control limits.
- The treaty was written with a fixed term and requires active agreement to extend; after the 2021 extension to 2026, Russia's suspension of inspections in 2023 blocked renewal, and the United States demands restored verification.
- A U.S. negotiator even put an empty chair with a Chinese flag while White House officials signaled they wanted China included, and Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed a one-year extension amid no substantive U.S. reaction.
- Loss of verification will push both sides to rely more on intelligence estimates and worst-case planning, raising 'launch on warning' risk and straining U.S. and allied confidence in extended deterrence.
- Toft notes uploads could occur over months to a few years, while political signaling and leadership choices will shape future stability, with prospects for a multilateral deal remaining extremely low.
45 Articles
45 Articles
On Thursday, the nuclear disarmament agreement "New Start" expires. Dmitry Medvedev expressly warned against the consequences for the world. The next round of direct talks between Kiev, Moscow and Washington has been postponed on short notice until Wednesday. More in the live ticker.
The latest treatment between Russia and the US on nuclear weapons control, known as New START, expires on 5 February, writes Reuters. The United States and Russia could enter a new course of nuclear arms...
The Straits Times
Russia's Medvedev says expiry of New START should alarm the world
MOSCOW, Feb 2 - Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council, said that if the New START treaty expired with no replacement then the world should be alarmed that the biggest nuclear powers had no limits for probably the first time since the early 1970s. Read more at straitstimes.com.
Last US-Russia nuclear pact set to end
WASHINGTON: Come Thursday, barring a last-minute change, the final treaty in the world that restricted nuclear weapon deployment will be over. New START, the last nuclear treaty between Washington and Moscow after decades of agreements dating to the Cold War, is set to expire, and with it restrictions on the two top nuclear powers. The expiration comes as President Donald Trump, vowing “America First”, smashes through international agreements th…
The only remaining US-Russia nuclear treaty expires this week. Could a new arms race soon accelerate?
The New START treaty, the last remaining agreement constraining Russian and US nuclear weapons, is due to lapse on February 4. There are no negotiations to extend the terms of the treaty, either. As US President Donald Trump said dismissively in a recent interview, “if it expires, it expires”. The importance of the New START treaty is hard to overstate. As other nuclear treaties have been abrogated in recent years, this was the only deal left wi…
On Thursday, we will say goodbye to the last agreement between the nuclear superpowers, which limited their deadly arsenal.
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