Factbox-Global banks cut China growth forecasts as trade war deepens

Factbox-Global banks cut China growth forecasts as trade war deepens

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – Global investment banks are lowering their projections for China’s economic growth this year as U.S. President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariffs are expected to take a toll on the world’s second-largest economy. Some of the banks had upgraded their forecasts for China just a month ago, encouraged by signs of improvement in the sputtering economy in the first two months of the year. Sino-U.S. trade tensions have intensified a…

The Impact of the Tariff War on the Chinese Economy

An estimate of the impact of the tariff war between China and the U.S. on the Chinese GDP in 2025 is presented. The dependence of the Chinese economy on its exports and, in particular, on its exports to the U.S. has been declining significantly over time. At the current tariff rates, a total cessation of bilateral trade is a real possibility. Under the assumption, the reduction in the rate of growth of Chinese GDP may be estimated to be 1.2%, ot…

U.S. tariffs deepen China’s labor woes, straining fragile growth model

U.S. tariffs deepen China’s labor woes, straining fragile growth model April 15, 2025 Posted by: Quatro Strategies Categories: Business & Politics, China, Sanctions & Regulation, United States No Comments Subscribe to unlock this insight. START YOUR TRIAL NOWALREADY A MEMBER? .vc_custom_1452662201783{margin-right: 0px !important;margin-bottom: 40px !important;margin-left: 0px !imp…

Tariffs, Tensions, And Trade Talks: U.S.-China Standoff Raises Stakes In Global Economy

As markets reel and global supply chains brace for fresh disruption, the world’s two economic giants are once again toeing the line of decoupling—with rhetoric sharper than ever and the stakes dangerously high. In a telling interview on Monday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent offered a tempered yet cautionary view on the simmering tensions between Washington and Beijing. “There doesn’t have to be [a decoupling],” Bessent told Bloomberg TV.…