US EditionNational Retail Federation : holiday sales to increase 3.7% to 4.2% despite concerns over inflation
Holiday spending is forecasted to increase 3.7% to 4.2% in 2025, reaching over $1 trillion for the first time despite economic uncertainty, the National Retail Federation said.
- The National Retail Federation forecasts holiday sales to increase between 3.7% and 4.2% this year despite inflationary concerns.
- Other forecasts point to slowing but positive growth, with Mastercard predicting a 3.6% increase compared to 4.1% last year.
- Consumer spending remains resilient despite confidence erosion, but lower-income households are struggling more with higher prices.
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Associated Press News
National Retail Federation predicts first $1 trillion holiday shopping season
American shoppers are expected to spend more during the holiday shopping season this year, compared with a year ago, despite shoppers’ downbeat attitude amid all the economic uncertainty and rising prices from President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
National Retail Federation : holiday sales to increase 3.7% to 4.2% despite concerns over inflation
American shoppers are expected to spend more during the holiday shopping season this year, but the nation’s largest retail trade group believes sales growth may slow due to uncertainly over tariffs and the overall economy
National Retail Federation forecasts first $1 trillion holiday season
Bankinter Market Consensus The National Retail Federation anticipates that sales at the Holiday Season (November 1 to December 31) will grow +3.7%/+4.2% vs +4.3% in 2024. They will reach $1,010,000M/$1.02 billion. “The consumer is cautious, but remains fundamentally strong and will continue to drive economic growth.” The NRF maintains an optimistic view on the Christmas campaign and anticipates that consumers will continue to seek savings on no…
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