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Talarico leads Paxton for Texas Senate while Hinojosa trails Abbott in governor’s race: Poll

A Texas Public Opinion Research poll shows Democrats trailing in most statewide races, with 1,000 likely voters surveyed and several contests still undecided.

  • On Thursday, President Donald Trump traveled to Houston for a private fundraising dinner to support Republican Senate nominee Ken Paxton, the Texas state attorney general in a competitive midterm race.
  • Trump's intervention follows Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, though GOP donors have since pressured the president to fund the struggling campaign after criticizing his endorsement choice.
  • Recent polling from Texas Southern University shows Democratic nominee James Talarico leading Paxton in key districts, with the RealClearPolitics average also indicating a challenger advantage.
  • One GOP donor told Politico the "general view" is that Trump must bankroll Paxton's campaign, stating, "You broke it, now you own it."
  • Political analysts at the University of Virginia on Wednesday shifted the Texas Senate race to a toss-up, with a Democratic victory significantly boosting the party's chances of retaking the Senate.
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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, August 27, 2026.
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