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Study shows how earthquake monitors can track space junk through sonic booms

  • Published in Science on Jan 22, 2026, Fernando and Charalambous used seismic readings from the 2024 Shenzhou-15 orbital module reentry over Southern California to plot a path nearly 20 miles south of radar predictions.
  • Orbital tracking now struggles once objects break up in the atmosphere, complicating descent predictions as ESA estimates 1.2 million hazardous debris pieces threaten aircraft and aviation stakeholders.
  • Using more than 120 seismometers and 125 instruments, Benjamin Fernando and Constantinos Charalambous reconstructed the 1.5-ton Shenzhou-15 module’s breakup, matching speeds of Mach 25 to 30 and about 7.8 kilometers per second.
  • The technique could ascertain an incoming object's speed, direction and fragmentation within minutes or even seconds, helping recovery teams reach surviving pieces faster through seismic networks already operational in many regions.
  • While promising, the method won’t detect most debris due to size or altitude and requires further validation; researchers propose leveraging U.S. West Coast seismic networks or custom-built seismic networks and studying environmental hazards from vaporized aerospace materials.
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The researchers, Benjamin Fernando from Johns Hopkins University and Konstantinos Charalambous from Imperial College London, utilized existing seismometer networks used in earthquake detection.

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Science broke the news in on Thursday, January 22, 2026.
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