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Steve Kornacki: Two warnings for Republicans in the New Jersey governor results

Sherrill’s 13-point victory reflects suburban voters’ rejection of the GOP tied to Trump, with losses in affluent counties and among Hispanic and Asian American communities.

  • On Nov. 5, 2024, Mikie Sherrill defeated Jack Ciattarelli by a 13-point margin to win New Jersey's governorship and keep the state Democratic.
  • With President Donald Trump back in the White House, well-to-do, college-educated suburban voters in Hunterdon, Morris and Somerset counties rejected the GOP.
  • Sherrill flipped at least five Trump-supporting counties, with Jack Ciattarelli, Republican's margins 12 to 14 points worse than in his 2021 campaign.
  • Across key races, Democrats outperformed expectations nationwide, and the New Jersey outcome poses concerning national implications for Republicans.
  • In heavily Hispanic municipalities, all of Trump's 2024 gains were washed away Tuesday night, while nonwhite voters in Middlesex County, New Jersey, reversed his inroads with Hispanic and Asian American voters.
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Politico broke the news in on Wednesday, November 5, 2025.
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