Spanberger Holds 10-Point Lead over Earle-Sears in Virginia: Poll
Winsome Earle-Sears has closed the gap to within 3 points by mobilizing voters around cultural issues and parental rights as early voting surges, pollsters say.
- A poll conducted by Emerson College and The Hill on September 28-29, 2025, shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger holding a 10-point advantage over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in the Virginia governor’s race, with 52% of respondents supporting Spanberger, 42% backing Earle-Sears, and 5% remaining undecided.
- The lead follows a history of shifting support where independents moved from favoring Earle-Sears by four points in January to backing Spanberger by 19 points in the latest poll.
- The race tightens amid controversies including protests in Arlington comparing Earle-Sears' transgender policies to segregation, which Spanberger condemned as racist and abhorrent, drawing bipartisan condemnation.
- Poll data shows 79% of voters prioritize the economy, followed by education at 78%, while transgender issues rank far lower at 27%; Spanberger confirmed she would rescind Youngkin's ICE cooperation order if elected.
- These findings indicate a competitive final stretch in the race with economic concerns dominant and immigration an ongoing point of debate as voters approach early and in-person voting.
19 Articles
19 Articles
New poll shows Spanberger with 10-point lead over Earle-Sears in VA governor's race
A new poll from Emerson College Polling/The Hill shows the Democratic nominee for Virginia governor, Abigail Spanberger, with a 10-point lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears.
Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in Virginia governor's race, Emerson poll finds
(WHTM) - Former congresswoman Abigail Spanberger (D) is leading Lt. Governor Winsome Earle-Sears (R) by 10 points in the Virginia governor's race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey. The poll found Spanberger with 52% to Earle-Sears' 42%, an increase from Spanberger's 1% lead in a January Emerson College survey. “Spanberger has picked up significant momentum since the first Emerson College poll at the beginning of 2025, d…
Spanberger holds 10-point lead in Virginia governor’s race
(The Center Square) – Democratic nominee Abigail Spanberger is starting October with a polling advantage in Virginia’s governor’s race as the month opens with a federal shutdown and political tension building in Virginia.
New Poll Shows Winsome Earle-Sears Closing in on Abigail Spanberger in Virginia Governor’s Race
A survey released this week from A2 Insights has Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears trailing Democrat Abigail Spanberger by just three points in Virginia’s gubernatorial election, putting the contest firmly within the margin of error as early voting picks up steam.

GOP Candidate Closes The Gap In Governor’s Race – Contest Now Within Margin Of Error
Virginia Lieutenant Governor Winsome Earle-Sears now trails her Democratic opponent, Abigail Spanberger, by only three points, according to a new survey. This puts the race within the survey’s margin of error. BREAKING: NEW A2 INSIGHTS VIRGINIA GOVERNOR POLL SHOWS SEARS RAPIDLY CLOSING THE GAP Abigail Spanberger: 48% (+3) Winsome Earle-Sears: 45% KEEP VOTING, VIRGINIA! pic.twitter.com/qz1qsjdDYx — Virginia College Republicans (@vacollegegop) Oc…
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