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Spanberger Holds 10-Point Lead over Earle-Sears in Virginia: Poll

Winsome Earle-Sears has closed the gap to within 3 points by mobilizing voters around cultural issues and parental rights as early voting surges, pollsters say.

  • A poll conducted by Emerson College and The Hill on September 28-29, 2025, shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger holding a 10-point advantage over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears in the Virginia governor’s race, with 52% of respondents supporting Spanberger, 42% backing Earle-Sears, and 5% remaining undecided.
  • The lead follows a history of shifting support where independents moved from favoring Earle-Sears by four points in January to backing Spanberger by 19 points in the latest poll.
  • The race tightens amid controversies including protests in Arlington comparing Earle-Sears' transgender policies to segregation, which Spanberger condemned as racist and abhorrent, drawing bipartisan condemnation.
  • Poll data shows 79% of voters prioritize the economy, followed by education at 78%, while transgender issues rank far lower at 27%; Spanberger confirmed she would rescind Youngkin's ICE cooperation order if elected.
  • These findings indicate a competitive final stretch in the race with economic concerns dominant and immigration an ongoing point of debate as voters approach early and in-person voting.
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Breitbart broke the news in United States on Thursday, October 2, 2025.
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