US EditionSpanberger Holds 10-Point Lead over Earle-Sears in Virginia: Poll
Republican Winsome Earle-Sears closed to within 3 points of Democrat Abigail Spanberger as early voting surges and cultural issues shape voter preferences, poll shows a +/-3.6% margin of error.
- An Emerson College/The Hill poll released Thursday shows Abigail Spanberger leading Winsome Earle-Sears 52% to 42% with 5% undecided, based on 725 likely voters surveyed Sept. 28-29, 2025.
- From double-digit leads earlier, the race tightened after a summer reset for Winsome Earle-Sears emphasizing education and parental rights, narrowing gaps noted by Christopher Newport University’s Wason Center and Real Clear Politics.
- Independent voters now back Spanberger by 19 points, reversing January's trend, and Spanberger leads voters under 50 by 27 points, with Spencer Kimball saying it's "a 27-point lead, 59% to 32%."
- Early voting, which began Sept. 19, has doubled the pace from 2021 with nearly half from GOP districts, while early voters back Spanberger 60% to 38% compared to 50% to 43% among Virginia likely voters yet to vote.
- With November 4 approaching, the Virginia lieutenant governor and state attorney general races join the governor's contest, while over 147,000 federal workers add uncertainty amid the shutdown.
23 Articles
23 Articles
New poll shows Spanberger with 10-point lead over Earle-Sears in VA governor's race
A new poll from Emerson College Polling/The Hill shows the Democratic nominee for Virginia governor, Abigail Spanberger, with a 10-point lead over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears.
Poll Shows Earle-Sears Closing Gap with Spanberger in Virginia
With less than five weeks before Virginia’s statewide elections, a new poll finds the Republican gubernatorial nominee, Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, trending upward and closing the gap with her opponent, Democrat Abigail Spanberger. The poll conducted by A2 Insights found Earle-Sears trailing Spanberger, a former three-term member of Congress, by 3.1 points—marking the closest margin Virginians have seen in the race to succeed term-limited Repu…
Spanberger leads Earle-Sears in Virginia governor's race, Emerson poll finds
(WHTM) - Former congresswoman Abigail Spanberger (D) is leading Lt. Governor Winsome Earle-Sears (R) by 10 points in the Virginia governor's race, according to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey. The poll found Spanberger with 52% to Earle-Sears' 42%, an increase from Spanberger's 1% lead in a January Emerson College survey. “Spanberger has picked up significant momentum since the first Emerson College poll at the beginning of 2025, d…
Spanberger holds 10-point lead in Virginia governor’s race
(The Center Square) – Democratic nominee Abigail Spanberger is starting October with a polling advantage in Virginia’s governor’s race as the month opens with a federal shutdown and political tension building in Virginia.
New Poll Shows Winsome Earle-Sears Closing in on Abigail Spanberger in Virginia Governor’s Race
A survey released this week from A2 Insights has Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears trailing Democrat Abigail Spanberger by just three points in Virginia’s gubernatorial election, putting the contest firmly within the margin of error as early voting picks up steam.
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