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Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner: Looking Into All Possible Scenarios for Year-End World No. 1 Ahead of ATP Finals Grand Finale

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are separated by just 250 points, with performances at the ATP Finals and points dropping from last year deciding the year-end No. 1.

  • On Sunday in Turin, the ATP Finals start and will decide year-end No. 1 as Jannik Sinner must win and hope Carlos Alcaraz avoids the final, while Alcaraz needs three wins.
  • Because points from last year's ATP Finals drop off next week, the rankings will read Alcaraz 11,050 and Sinner 10,000, making the Finals decisive.
  • Entering Turin, Jannik Sinner arrives on a 10-match winning streak after titles in Vienna and Paris, while Alcaraz, after a Paris loss to Cameron Norrie, still leads by more than 1,000 points.
  • Because the Finals uses the Race to Turin, the draw on Thursday could be uncertain if Djokovic withdraws, allowing Auger-Aliassime and Musetti to qualify.
  • Across the season, Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz have traded Grand Slam titles, while Sinner’s three-month doping suspension affected his points, with other top players unlikely to move into the top two soon.
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Jannik Sinner replaces Carlos Alcaraz at No. 1 with the year-ending top spot still uncertain

It’s not just Grand Slam titles that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz have taken turns collecting this year. The top two tennis players are also trading the No. 1 ranking back and forth. Sinner has officially returned to the top…

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'Final with Aliassime very intense. Now we see Turin' (ANSA)

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Marca broke the news in Barcelona, Spain on Sunday, November 2, 2025.
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