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Sherrill, Ciattarelli Neck-and-Neck in New Jersey Governor’s Race: Poll

  • A2 Insights' new survey shows Rep. Mikie Sherrill leading 51.4 to 46.5 as early voting begins, with Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 4.
  • The state's off-year election system began in 1947 when Republican Governor Alfred E. Driscoll shifted New Jersey to avoid federal trends, shaping voter turnout today.
  • Polling and market odds indicate Sherrill leads with a co/efficient poll showing 48% to 47%, while Polymarket and Kalshi give her 86% and 85% odds.
  • Early voting has opened and 5% of voters remain undecided as Jack Ciattarelli, Republican nominee, runs with an endorsement from President Donald Trump.
  • Off-Year contests shrink and shape electorates, with New Jersey's 2025 electorate roughly 1.7 million fewer voters and costly elections diverting tens of millions from other uses.
Insights by Ground AI

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Bias Distribution

  • 65% of the sources lean Right
65% Right

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The Blaze broke the news in United States on Tuesday, October 28, 2025.
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