Australia Risks Becoming a ‘Welfare State’ without Spending, Productivity Fixes
AUSTRALIA, JUL 21 – The Reserve Bank of Australia’s cautious hold at 3.85% reflects mixed economic signals and a 6-3 board split, with unemployment rising to 4.3%, suggesting future rate cuts likely.
- On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia held rates at 3.85% after the July 7-8 meeting, with a six-to-three vote, following two cuts earlier this year.
- Amid a cautious strategy, the board held rates, as concerns over June quarter inflation exceeding forecasts influenced their decision.
- Unemployment at 4.3% reveals a resilient labor market, prompting the RBA to hold rates and impact mortgage and market expectations.
- Markets responded by lifting expectations of a 3.6% rate cut at August 11-12, with Abhijit Surya saying, `We doubt the RBA will remain on the sidelines for much longer.`
- Looking ahead, markets see three rate cuts in the second half of 2025, suggesting ongoing easing expectations.
21 Articles
21 Articles
Reserve Bank of Australia Reveals Why It Held Rates in July
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)’s Monetary Policy Committee has released its meeting minutes, revealing the reasons for holding the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 3.85 percent in July. The decision came down to a six-to-three vote, the central bank said, with the majority opting to wait for more data on inflation and global economic developments before easing policy further. Economists and financial markets were surprised by the move, which bro…
Banks slump as investors turn to miners; RBA minutes
The Australian sharemarket has closed flat after opening higher, as strong gains in healthcare and materials were offset by a second straight day sell-off in bank shares, seeing investors moving towards the miners. For more, Stephanie Youssef spoke with Todd Hoare, the chief investment officer at LGT Crestone. Plus, the Reserve Bank has revealed its reasoning behind its decision to keep interest rates on hold at July’s board meeting, saying lowe…
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