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Rachel Reeves to deliver spring forecast

Chancellor Rachel Reeves highlights falling inflation and interest rates amid global tensions, with the Office for Budget Responsibility forecasting 1.1% GDP growth in 2026.

  • On March 3, Chancellor Rachel Reeves will present a low‑key Spring Statement at around 12.30pm, updating the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecasts to Parliament.
  • Reeves has chosen to limit the spring event by holding only one major fiscal event a year, so the OBR will defer its formal assessment of fiscal rules until the autumn Budget.
  • Key indicators point to Brent crude oil rising over $80 a barrel, UK GDP growing 0.1% last quarter, inflation at 3% year to January, and wages excluding bonuses up 4.2%.
  • After the speech, the Treasury will publish the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecasts on gov.uk, and the opposition, likely Kemi Badenoch or Mel Stride, will formally respond.
  • With a 21.7 billion headroom, Reeves faces rising political pressure after the Gorton and Denton by-election on Friday, while the OBR forecasts exclude potential effects from Iran strikes on oil prices.
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Upstract broke the news in on Saturday, February 28, 2026.
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