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New polling shows Reform UK still leading in South West Wales — but Labour gains

Summary by Swansea Bay News
New constituency-level analysis from YouGov’s July 2025 MRP polling confirms that Reform UK continues to lead in South West Wales, but small vote share shifts point to signs of life for Labour in several key seats. The updated data follows Swansea Bay News’ original projection last month based on an MRP forecast by research group More in Common, which charted Reform UK’s dramatic rise across the region. While the new numbers show the party maint…
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Swansea Bay News broke the news in on Friday, August 1, 2025.
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